新型城镇化视角下租赁住房试点城市的分类研究*
Research on the Classification of Rental Housing Pilot Cities from the Perspective of New-type Urbanization
吴 佳
上海市房地产科学研究院 博士，高级经济师
摘要: 改革开放以来，流动人口开始大量出现，并且呈现迅速增长态势。随着城镇化的发展，流动人口的住房需求亦呈现出新特征。其中，住房制度作为新型城镇化的重要内容，发展租赁住房是满足流动人口居住需求的重要方式，也是解决大城市居住问题的途径。基于租买选择理论，测度我国26个试点城市的租售比、房租收入比，并对其进行分类，分析各类城市的住房租金价格水平、租金可负担程度及其原因。结果发现，随着城镇化率的提高，房租收入比将会增加，即租赁住房消费支出将会提高。同时，第三产业占比的提高、人口净流入与房价增速的降低，将会增加房租收入比。鉴于此，在新型城镇化背景下，后期可提升城镇化发展的质量水平，畅通国内大循环；因城施策发展租赁住房，满足流动人口的住房需求；配套基本公共服务，完善租买选择机制。
Abstract: Since the reform and opening up, a large number of floating populations have sprung up and increased rapidly. In the promotion of new-type urbanization, the residential needs from floating populations show new characteristics. The housing system is an important part of new-type urbanization, and supporting rental housing is an essential way to meet the housing demands of floating populations and alleviate the housing problems in megacities. Based on the housing tenure choice theory, this paper measures the rent to price ratio and rent to income ratio, classifies 26 cities, and extracts various types of housing rent price levels and rental affordability. This paper finds that: the rent to income ratio increases with the growth of urbanization rate, that is, the rental housing consumption expenditure increases. Meanwhile, as the proportion of tertiary industry increases, the growth rate of net population inflow and the growth rate of housing price decrease, and the rent to income ratio will rise. In this regard, under the prospect of new-type urbanization, this paper suggests improving the quality level of urbanization development for the domestic circulation, developing localized rental housing to meet the residential needs of floating populations, and improving supporting facilities for basic public services and the mechanism for housing tenure choice.
关键词：新型城镇化；租买选择；租赁住房；租售比；房租收入比
Keyword: new-type urbanization; housing tenure choice; rental housing; rent to price ratio; rent to income ratio
中图分类号：TU984
文献标识码: A
资金资助
上海市2021年度“科技创新行动计划”软科学重点项目“ “上海科创人才住房需求特征及对策” 21692196400
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