全过程城市灾害风险应对能力综合评估* ——以福建省厦门市为例
Comprehensive Assessment of Urban Disaster Risk Response Capacity throughout the Process: A Case Study of Xiamen，Fujian Province
周姝天
南通大学艺术学院（建筑学院） 副教授，博士
鲁钰雯
南京大学建筑与城市规划学院 博士
施益军
浙江农林大学风景园林与建筑学院 讲师，博士
吴 天
招商蛇口南通公司 投资发展部研究员，硕士
翟国方（通信作者）
南京大学建筑与城市规划学院 博士生导师，博士
摘要: 城市综合防灾规划是我国地方规划体系的重要组成部分。在城市层面、中小尺度的面向城市综合防灾现状评估的定量研究还较少，尚未形成权威、公认的研究范式和指标体系，研究结果对城市规划建设和风险管理工作的指导性较弱。为此，提出城市灾害风险应对能力概念，分析并选取与城市灾害风险应对相关的指标，采用专家打分法、层次分析法和综合分析法构建包括灾前、灾时和灾后（短期）在内的全过程多要素指标评价体系，并以福建省厦门市为例进行实证研究，以期为城市综合防灾规划研究提供建议和思路，为城市防灾现状评价提供指标框架上的借鉴。
Abstract: The urban comprehensive disaster prevention plan is an important part of the local planning system in China. However, quantitative research on situation assessment of urban comprehensive disaster prevention at the city level, and middle-small scale is insufficient. The authoritative research paradigm and index system have not been established. The results of former studies failed to efficiently guide urban planning and construction and risk management. This paper puts forward the concept of urban disaster risk coping capability, analyzes and selects relevant indicators using expert scoring method, analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and comprehensive analysis method to establish a multi-factor index evaluation system, and carries on the empirical research in Xiamen. This research tries to offer suggestions and ideas on urban comprehensive disaster prevention planning, and provide references on index framework.
关键词：灾害风险；灾害应对；综合评估；城市综合防灾
Keyword: disaster risk; disaster response; comprehensive assessment; urban comprehensive disaster prevention
中图分类号：TU984
文献标识码: A
资金资助
南通大学人才引进项目 “城市灾害风险综合评价与防灾减灾策略研究” 135420632119
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