行业分类下新增工业用地时空演变特征* ——基于2007—2020年青岛市土地出让数据的研究
The Spatio-temporal Distribution of Newly Increased Industrial Land by Industrial Classiffcation: A Study Based on the Land Conveyance Data of Qingdao during 2007 to 2020
周 琳
同济大学建筑与城市规划学院 上海市城市更新及其空间优化技术重点实验室 博士研究生 青岛市城市规划设计研究院编研中心 高级工程师
商 桐
青岛市城市规划设计研究院编研中心 主任研究师，高级工程师，硕士
段文婷
山东建筑大学建筑城规学院 副教授，博士研究生
林 萌
青岛市城市规划设计研究院编研中心 工程师，硕士
王国涛（通信作者）
未来城市（青岛）建筑规划设计有限公司 工程师，硕士
摘要: 基于2007—2020年青岛市工业用地出让数据，运用核密度估计法、全局莫兰指数、标准差椭圆、区位熵等分析方法，从总
趋势、时空演变、行业变化3个角度探讨青岛市工业用地特征。分析结果显示：①青岛市年度工业用地出让总面积先升后降，亩均价格逐渐上升，与宏观经济趋势相符；②时空演变呈现园区化和郊区化倾向，受规划引导和各类政策影响，全域层面集聚程度先降后升而近邻集聚态势先升后降；③分行业的出让面积比例结构未见明显转变，空间集聚特征各异：传统产业在各圈层均有分布优势，总体呈衰退趋势；优势特色产业园区化集聚特征明显，总体不再扩张；新兴未来产业仅在内圈层有分布优势，增长趋势不明显。最后，针对研究结论，就工业用地供应模式和资源配置策略提出建议。
Abstract: Based on the data of industrial land conveyance in Qingdao from 2007 to 2020, with the methods of kernel density estimation, Global
Moran's I, standard deviation ellipse, and location quotient, this paper analyzes the general trends, temporal and spatial evolution, and
industry changes. The research shows that: The total amount of industrial land convey in Qingdao increased first and then decreased
by year, and the average price per mu (Chinese unit of land measurement) gradually increased, in line with the trend of the macro
economy. Spatially, there is obvious park-agglomeration and outward diffusion, and the degree of agglomeration at the global level
first declined and then rose, while the neighboring agglomeration situation first rose then fell.There was no obvious change in the
structure of the transfer amount by industry, and the characteristics of spatial agglomeration of sub-industry are different. Traditional
industries have distribution advantages in each circle, and the overall trend is declining. Local advanced industries have a arkagglomeration trend and no expansion in general. Future industries only have distribution advantages in the inner circle, and the growth trend is not obvious. Finally, this paper puts forward suggestions about land supply mode and resource allocation strategies based on the research conclusions.
关键词：工业用地出让；新增工业用地；时空分布；行业分布；青岛市
Keyword: industrial land conveyance; newly-increased industrial land; spatio-temporal distribution; industry distribution; Qingdao
中图分类号：TU984
文献标识码: A
资金资助
2021年度青岛市哲学社会科学规划项目 新旧动能转换视角下青岛市工业用地演变特征及成因分析 QDSKL2101370
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