城市生命体视角下成长型都市圈外围收缩城市类 型识别及动力机制研究* ——以武汉都市圈为例

Research on the Identification and Dynamic Mechanism of Peripheral Shrinking Cities in Growth-oriented Metropolitan Regions from the Perspective of Urban Life Entity: A Case Study of Wuhan Metropolitan Region

张梦洁
华中科技大学建筑与城市规划学院 湖北省城镇化工程技术研究中心 讲师,硕士生导师,博士

舒建峰
华中科技大学建筑与城市规划学院 湖北省城镇化工程技术研究中心 博士研究生

彭 翀(通信作者)
华中科技大学建筑与城市规划学院 副书记兼副院长 湖北省城镇化工程技术研究中心 教授,博士生导师,pengchong@hust.edu.cn

摘要: 关注成长型都市圈外围中小城市的“相对收缩”问题,基于城市生命体理论提出“成长力”是一个包含空间容纳 力、生产保障力、创新服务力的综合概念,据此构建了“三维共轭角力”评估模型和指标体系。采取改进的NK模型及 MATLAB仿真对武汉都市圈外围中小城市进行成长力水平评估、提升路径模拟与城市类型识别。结果表明,武汉都市圈 外围城市可分为资源整合型、提质增量型、创新联动型3类,其收缩现象受到自身发展本底条件和区域功能格局的双重 影响。资源整合型城市应以效用型增长为目的进行规模与功能重构;提质增量型城市应融入区域产业分工提升集聚势 能;创新联动型城市应以节点功能链接嵌入区域协同创新网络。

Abstract: This article focuses on the "relative shrinking" issue of small and medium-sized cities in the periphery of growth-oriented metropolitan areas. Drawing on the concept of the urban organism, this paper posits that urban shrinkage is a normal metabolic phenomenon within the life cycle of cities. "Growth potential" is a comprehensive concept that includes spatial capacity, production security, and innovation service capabilities. Based on this concept, a "three-dimensional conjugate force" assessment model and corresponding indicator system are constructed. An improved NK model and MATLAB simulation are employed to evaluate growth potential levels and optimize path simulations, serving as the basis for categorizing shrinkage types in cities. Empirical analysis of urban shrinkage in the Wuhan Metropolitan Region is conducted accordingly. The growth potential levels in the Wuhan Metropolitan Region exhibit peripheral, low-level dispersion. Peripheral shrinking cities in the Wuhan Metropolitan Region can be categorized into three types: resource integration-oriented type, quality enhancementoriented type, and innovation-driven type. Resource integration-oriented cities should drive spatial organization restructuring toward utility-oriented growth. Quality enhancement-oriented cities should integrate into regional industrial divisions to enhance spatial aggregation potential. Innovation-driven cities should build collaborative innovation networks. The shrinkage phenomenon is influenced by both development background conditions and regional functional patterns. It is suggested to achieve sustainable development of the region as a whole through the optimal allocation of resource elements.

关键词:城市生命体;成长型都市圈;收缩城市;类型识别;动力机制

Keyword: urban life entity; growth-oriented metropolitan region; shrinking city; typology identification; dynamic mechanism

中图分类号:TU984

文献标识码: A

吴康,孙东琪. 城市收缩的研究进展与展望[J]. 
经济地理,2017,37(11):59-67.
WU Kang, SUN Dongqi. Progress in urban shrinkage research[J]. Economic Geography, 2017, 37(11): 
59-67.
TUROK I, MYKHNENKO V. The trajectories of 
European cities, 1960-2005[J]. Cities, 2007, 24(3): 
165-182.
KABISCH N, HAASE D, HAASE A. Evolving 
reurbanisation? Spatio-temporal dynamics as 
exemplified by the east German city of Leipzig[J]. 
Urban Studies, 2010, 47(5): 967-990.
BATTY M. Empty buildings, shrinking cities and 
ghost towns[J]. Environment and Planning B: 
Planning and Design, 2016, 43(1): 3-6.
AUDIRAC I, FOL S, MARTINEZ-FERNANDEZ 
C. Shrinking cities in a time of crisis[J]. Berkeley 
Planning Journal, 2010, 23(1): 51-57.
MARTINEZ-FERNANDEZ C, AUDIRAC I, 
FOL S, et al. Shrinking cities: urban challenges 
of globalization[J]. International Journal of Urban 
and Regional Research, 2012, 36(2): 213-225.
OSWALT P, RIENIETS T. Atlas of shrinking 
cities[M]. Ostfildern: Hatje Cantz Publishers, 
2006.
WIECHMANN T. Errors expected - aligning 
urban strategy with demographic uncertainty in 
shrinking cities[J]. International Planning Studies, 
2008, 13(4): 431-446.
SCHILLING J, LOGAN J. Greening the rust 
belt: a green infrastructure model for right sizing 
America's shrinking cities[J]. Journal of the 
American Planning Association, 2008, 74(4): 451-
466.
RECKIEN D, MARTINEZ-FERNANDEZ C. 
Why do cities shrink?[J]. European Planning 
Studies, 2011, 19(8): 1375-1397.
BONTJE M. Facing the challenge of shrinking 
cities in East Germany: the case of Leipzig[J]. 
GeoJournal, 2004, 61: 13-21.
MYKHNENKO V, TUROK I. East European 
cities - patterns of growth and decline, 1960-
2005[J]. International Planning Studies, 2008, 
13(4): 311-342.
WIECHMANN T, PALLAGST K M. Urban 
shrinkage in Germany and the USA: a comparison 
of transformation patterns and local strategies[J]. 
International Journal of Urban and Regional 
Research, 2012, 36(2): 261-280.
CHAN E H W, WANG A, LANG W. Comprehensive 
evaluation framework for sustainable land use: case 
study of Hong Kong in 2000-2010[J]. Journal of 
Urban Planning and Development, 2016, 142(4): 
05016007.12.
栾志理,康建军. 日本收缩型中小城市的规划应
对与空间优化研究[J]. 上海城市规划,2023(4):
78-84.
LUAN Zhili, KANG Jianjun. Planning response 
and spatial optimization of medium-sized and 
small shrinking cities in Japan[J]. Shanghai Urban 
Planning Review, 2023(4): 78-84.
栾志理,乔泽浩. 人口收缩时代日本北海道中小
城市的精明收缩策略研究[J]. 上海城市规划,
2023(1):141-146.
LUAN Zhili, QIAO Zehao. Smart shrinkage 
strategies of depopulation of medium and small 
shrinking cities in Hokkaido, Japan[J]. Shanghai 
Urban Planning Review, 2023(1): 141-146.
SOUSA S, PINHO P. Planning for shrinkage: 
paradox or paradigm[J]. European Planning 
Studies, 2015, 23(1): 12-32.
BERNT M, HAASE A, GROSSMANN K, et 
al. How does(n't) urban shrinkage get onto the 
agenda? Experiences from Leipzig, Liverpool, 
Genoa and Bytom[J]. International Journal of 
Urban and Regional Research, 2014, 38(5): 1749-
1766.
ALI L, HAASE A, HEILAND S. Gentrification 
through green regeneration? Analyzing the 
interaction between inner-city green space 
development and neighborhood change in the 
context of regrowth: the case of Lene-Voigt-Park in 
Leipzig, Eastern Germany[J]. Land, 2020, 9(1): 24.
ALEXANDER F S. Land bank authorities: a 
guide for the creation and operation of local 
land banks[M]. New York City: Local Initiatives 
Support Corporation, 2005.
高舒琦. 收缩城市研究综述[J]. 城市规划学刊,
2015(3):44-49.
GAO Shuqi. A review of researches on shrinking 
cities[J]. Urban Planning Forum, 2015(3): 44-49.
周恺,钱芳芳. 收缩城市:逆增长情景下的城市
发展路径研究进展[J]. 现代城市研究,2015(9):
2-13.
ZHOU Kai, QIAN Fangfang. Shrinking city: on 
searching for urban development in non-growing 
scenarios[J]. Modern Urban Research, 2015(9): 
2-13.
杜志威,李郇. 珠三角快速城镇化地区发展的增
长与收缩新现象[J]. 地理学报,2017,72(10):
1800-1811.
DU Zhiwei, LI Xun. Growth or shrinkage: new 
phenomena of regional development in the 
rapidly-urbanising Pearl River Delta[J]. Acta 
Geographica Sinica, 2017, 72(10): 1800-1811.
赵丹,张京祥. 竞争型收缩城市:现象、机制及
对策——以江苏省射阳县为例[J]. 城市问题,
2018(3):12-18.
ZHAO Dan, ZHANG Jingxiang. Competitive 
shrinking city: phenomenon, mechanism and 
countermeasures: a case study of Sheyang County, 
Jiangsu Province[J]. Urban Problems, 2018(3): 
12-18.
刘振,戚伟,刘盛和. 中国人口收缩的城乡分异
特征及形成机理[J]. 地理科学,2021,41(7):
1116-1128.
LIU Zhen, QI Wei, LIU Shenghe. The differences 
of urban-rural population change and the 
underlying mechanism in the population shrinking
counties in China[J]. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 
2021, 41(7): 1116-1128.
孙平军. 城市收缩:内涵•中国化•研究框架[J]. 地
理科学进展,2022,41(8):1478-1491.
SUN Pingjun. Urban shrinkage: connotation – 
framework – analysis[J]. Progress in Geography, 
2022, 41(8): 1478-1491.
吴康,洪辉. 县城人口流失:现状分析与治理重
点[J]. 国家治理,2023(5):61-66.
WU Kang, HONG Hui. County population 
loss: current situation analysis and governance 
priorities[J]. Governance, 2023(5): 61-66.
安树伟,张晋晋. 都市圈内中小城市功能提升机
理研究[M]. 北京:科学出版社,2020. 
AN Shuwei, ZHANG Jinjin. Research on function 
improvement mechanism of small and mediumsized cities in metropolitan area[M]. Beijing: 
Science Press, 2020.
彭翀,伍岳,张梦洁,等. 我国都市圈政策演进与
多维耦合特征研究——基于2000—2022年政策
文本计量分析[J]. 规划师,2023,39(4):11-18.
PENG Chong, WU Yue, ZHANG Mengjie, et al. 
Policy evolution and multi-dimensional coupling 
in Chinese metropolitan areas: an econometric 
analysis of policy texts from 2000 to 2022[J]. 
Planners, 2023, 39(4): 11-18.
孙斌栋,金晓溪,林杰. 走向大中小城市协调发
展的中国新型城镇化格局——1952年以来中国
城市规模分布演化与影响因素[J]. 地理研究,
2019,38(1):75-84.
SUN Bindong, JIN Xiaoxi, LIN Jie. Spatial pattern 
of China's population distribution and its evolution 
characteristics in 1935-2010[J]. Geographical 
Research, 2019, 38(1): 75-84.
李郇,吴康,龙瀛,等. 局部收缩:后增长时代下
的城市可持续发展争鸣[J]. 地理研究,2017,
36(10):1997-2016.
LI Xun, WU Kang, LONG Ying, et al. Academic 
debates upon shrinking cities in China for 
sustainable development[J]. Geographical 
Research, 2017, 36(10): 1997-2016.
BARTHOLOMAE F, NAM C W, SCHOENBERG 
A. Urban shrinkage and resurgence in Germany[J]. 
Urban Studies, 2017, 54(12): 2701-2718.
孙平军,王柯文. 中国东北三省城市收缩的识别
及其类型划分[J]. 地理学报,2021,76(6):
1366-1379.
SUN Pingjun, WANG Kewen. Identification and 
stage division of urban shrinkage in the three 
provinces of Northeast China[J]. Acta Geographica 
Sinica, 2021, 76(6): 1366-1379.
杨小波,吴庆书. 城市生态学(第二版)[M]. 北
京:科学出版社,2006.
YANG Xiaobo, WU Qingshu. Urban ecology 
(second edition)[M]. Beijing: Science Press, 2006.
路德维希•冯•贝塔朗菲. 生命问题:现代生物学
思想评价[M]. 北京:商务印书馆,1999.
VON BERTALANFFY L. Life problem: the 
evaluation of modern biological thought[M]. 
Beijing: The Commercial Press, 1999.
SUAZER-VILLA L. Urban growth and manufacturing change in the United States[J]. The 
Annals of Regional Science, 1995(19): 54-108
翟炜,顾朝林. 生态学视角下的城市生命周期及
其演替——以北京市为例[J]. 城市问题,2016
(7):30-37.
ZHAI Wei, GU Chaolin. Urban lifecycle and 
succession from the perspective of ecology: a case 
study of Beijing[J]. Urban Issues, 2016(7): 30-37.
季斌,张贤,孔善右. 都市圈成长能力评价指标
体系研究[J]. 现代城市研究,2007,22(6):
68-74.
JI Bin, ZHANG Xian, KONG Shanyou. Research 
on evaluation index system of metropolitan area 
growth capacity[J]. Modern Urban Research, 
2007, 22(6): 68-74.
罗世俊,焦华富,王秉建. 基于城市成长能力的
长三角城市群空间发展态势分析[J]. 经济地理,
2009,29(3):409-414.
LUO Shijun, JIAO Huafu, WANG Bingjian. 
Analysis of spatial development trends of urban 
agglomerations in the Yangtze River Delta 
based on urban growth capacity[J]. Economic 
Geography, 2009, 29(3): 409-414.
李俊峰,焦华富. 江淮城市群空间联系及整合模
式[J]. 地理研究,2010(3):535-544.
LI Junfeng, JIAO Huafu. Spatial connection and 
integration model of Jianghuai Urban Agglomeration[J]. Geographical Research, 2010(3): 535-544.
岳文泽,王田雨. 资源环境承载力评价与国土空
间规划的逻辑问题[J]. 中国土地科学,2019,
33(3):1-8.
YUE Wenze, WANG Tianyu. Logical issues in 
resource and environmental carrying capacity 
evaluation and territorial spatial planning[J]. China 
Land Sciences, 2019, 33(3): 1-8.
杨柳青,季菲菲,陈雯. 区域合作视角下南京都
市圈规划的实践成效及反思[J]. 上海城市规划,
2019(2):49-55.
YANG Liuqing, JI Feifei, CHEN Wen. Practical 
achievements and reflections on the planning 
of Nanjing metropolitan area under regional 
cooperation[J]. Shanghai Urban Planning Review, 
2019(2): 49-55.
LEVINTHAL D A. Adaptation on rugged landscapes[J]. Management Science, 1997, 43(7): 934-
950.
侯赟慧,刘洪. 企业网络适应性的NK模型分析
[J]. 中国工业经济,2009(4):94-104. 
HOU Yunhui, LIU Hong. Analysis of enterprise 
network adaptability based on NK-model[J]. 
China Industrial Economics, 2009(4): 94-104.
陈明曼. 复杂适应系统视角下的特色小镇演化
研究[D]. 重庆:重庆大学,2018.
CHEN Mingman. Research on the evolution 
of characteristic town from the perspective 
of complex adaptive system[D]. Chongqing: 
Chongqing University, 2018.
乔晶. 大都市地区镇村关系重构研究:以武汉市
为例[D]. 武汉:华中科技大学,2019. 
QIAO Jing. Research on the reconstruction 
of relations between towns and villages in 
metropolitan areas: a case study in Wuhan 
City[D]. Wuhan: Huazhong University of Science 
and Technology, 2019.
田俊峰,王彬燕,王士君. 东北三省城市土地利
用效益评价及耦合协调关系研究[J]. 地理科学,
2019,39(2):305-315.
TIAN Junfeng, WANG Binyan, WANG Shijun. 
Evaluation of urban land use efficiency and study 
on coupling coordination relationship in the three 
northeastern provinces[J]. Scientia Geographica 
Sinica, 2019, 39(2): 305-315.
赵燕菁. 效用型增长:边缘地区城市化模式[J]. 
城市发展研究,2017,24(6):1-9.
ZHAO Yanjing. Urbanization in periphery areas: 
the growth based on utility[J]. Urban Development 
Studies, 2017, 24(6): 1-9.

微信扫一扫
关注“上海城市规划”
公众号