出行距离与住房租金关系的空间分异*: 探索多中心城市中的竞租模型

The Spatial Differentiation of Relationship between Travel Distance and Housing Rent: Exploring Bid-rent Mode in Polycentric Cities

卢俊文
中山大学地理科学与规划学院 博士研究生

柳 林
广州大学地理科学学院公共安全地理信息分析中心 辛辛那提大学地理系 教授,博士生导师

袁奇峰
华南理工大学建筑学院 教授,博士生导师

周素红(通讯作者
中山大学地理科学与规划学院 广东省公共安全与灾害工程技术研究中心 广东省城市化与地理环境空间模拟重点实验室 教授,博士生导师

摘要: 多中心建设是现代大城市空间发展的重要议题。研究多元、异质的现代多中心城市需要系统地认识其空间异质性。借助住房竞租模型视角,引入地理加权回归模型,以广州为例探讨出行距离与住房租金关系的空间分异。结果发现:① 在现代城市,区位与出行距离都能对住房租金产生影响,但影响并不是线性的,而有着明显的空间异质性。② 基于道路网络的邻近度分析能更有效地控制城市区位的空间异质性,在此前提下,通勤距离对住房租金的影响表现出明显的空间异质性,甚至出现作用截然相反的社区;可能由于受到出行制约,非通勤出行距离的局部影响并不显著。③ 现代多中心城市的住房竞租模型是在多种情景下发挥作用的,不同的情景组合导致出行距离与住房租金关系的空间分异。研究结果提供了一种系统化理解城市空间结构的思路,研究中发现的具有特定出行模式的社区值得注意,并应引起多中心城市建设决策者的关注。

Abstract: Building a polycentric city is a widely discussed topic. As modern polycentric cities are becoming more and more diverse in space, it's important to explore their spatial heterogeneity systematically. This paper explores the spatial differentiation of the relationship between travel distance and housing rent from a bid-rent mode perspective by introducing geographic weighted regression. It's found that location and travel distance both influence urban housing rent significantly, but their effects are not homogeneous in space. Street network closeness measured by space syntax techniques represents housing location appropriately and successfully controls the spatial heterogeneity, this allows us to take a step further and focus on the spatial differentiation effects of travel distance on housing rent. In some newly developed areas, the effects of commuting distance on housing rent show totally opposite tendency to which is described in bid-rent theory, which might be caused by the central oriented commuting pattern ubiquitous among Chinese residents. The effects of non-commuting travel distance on housing rent are not apparent, partly because of various travel restrictions on workdays. Results in this research expand empirical evidence about bid-rent theory, and basing on these, we conclude the mechanism which results in spatial heterogeneity in bid-rent theory under a complex Chinese condition. It may help to deepen our understanding of space development pattern in urban China and offer valuable evidence when relevant policies are being made.

关键词:住房竞租模型 | 出行距离 | 城市空间异质性 | 手机信令数据 | 空间句法

Keyword: Housing bid-rent theory | Travel distance | Urban spatial heterogeneity | Cellphone data | Space syntax

中图分类号:TU981

文献标识码: A

资金资助

国家自然科学基金委员会与欧洲城市化联合研究计划合作研究项目 “超大城市区域的可持续交通与均等化:模式、机理与治理” 7181101150

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